{"id":6108,"date":"2021-09-03T10:00:27","date_gmt":"2021-09-03T10:00:27","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.francescopaese.it\/behavioral-finance-why-you-should-use-it-when-investing\/"},"modified":"2025-10-07T16:19:02","modified_gmt":"2025-10-07T16:19:02","slug":"behavioral-finance-why-you-should-use-it-when-investing","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.francescopaese.it\/en\/behavioral-finance-why-you-should-use-it-when-investing\/","title":{"rendered":"Behavioral Finance: Why You Should Use It When Investing"},"content":{"rendered":"<div class=\"fusion-fullwidth fullwidth-box fusion-builder-row-1 fusion-flex-container has-pattern-background has-mask-background hundred-percent-fullwidth non-hundred-percent-height-scrolling\" style=\"--awb-border-radius-top-left:0px;--awb-border-radius-top-right:0px;--awb-border-radius-bottom-right:0px;--awb-border-radius-bottom-left:0px;--awb-flex-wrap:wrap;\" ><div class=\"fusion-builder-row fusion-row fusion-flex-align-items-center fusion-flex-justify-content-center fusion-flex-content-wrap\" style=\"width:104% !important;max-width:104% !important;margin-left: calc(-4% \/ 2 );margin-right: calc(-4% \/ 2 );\"><div class=\"fusion-layout-column fusion_builder_column fusion-builder-column-0 fusion_builder_column_1_1 1_1 fusion-flex-column\" style=\"--awb-bg-size:cover;--awb-width-large:100%;--awb-margin-top-large:0px;--awb-spacing-right-large:1.92%;--awb-margin-bottom-large:0px;--awb-spacing-left-large:1.92%;--awb-width-medium:100%;--awb-spacing-right-medium:1.92%;--awb-spacing-left-medium:1.92%;--awb-width-small:100%;--awb-spacing-right-small:1.92%;--awb-spacing-left-small:1.92%;\"><div class=\"fusion-column-wrapper fusion-flex-justify-content-flex-start fusion-content-layout-column\"><div class=\"fusion-text fusion-text-1\"><h2><strong>Behavioral Finance to Address Market Uncertainty: Don&#8217;t Get Distracted by the Sirens<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p>In light of the current economic-health crisis that we have been experiencing for over a year, the<br \/>question many investors are asking is how situations of <strong>uncertainty <\/strong>in the markets may not<br \/>necessarily represent a negative factor, but could even offer an <strong>opportunity <\/strong>for their savings.<br \/>Clearly, this is not easy to navigate, and this is where <strong>behavioral finance<\/strong> comes into play. <\/p>\n<h2><strong>Looking at the Past Is Not Enough<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p>The simplest thing to do in these cases is to look at <strong>past performances <\/strong>during times of crisis.<br \/>However, two aspects must be taken into consideration: <\/p>\n<ol>\n<li>Every crisis has a unique <strong>origin, development, and explosion<\/strong>, and they always<br \/>manifest in different ways. Moreover, crises are sometimes the <strong>result <\/strong>of<strong> irrational<br \/>behaviors by investors, making us all accomplices and victims, from the famous 1637<br \/><strong>&#8220;<\/strong><strong>Dutch Tulip&#8221; <\/strong>Mania to more recent ones, such as the 2006 <strong>subprime <\/strong>mortgage crisis,<br \/>the 2015 <strong>Chinese stock market<\/strong> crash, and even the current one.<\/strong> <\/li>\n<li>We experience market events based on<strong> our personal history<\/strong>, <strong>our knowledge of the<br \/>surrounding events, and the<strong> influence of the opinion leaders<\/strong> we have chosen as<br \/>reliable sources for our preferences.<\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<p>At this point, it becomes clear how <strong>complex it is for an individual investor to decipher<\/strong> which<br \/>events represent a threat and which are an opportunity for their portfolio. In moments of doubt, it<br \/>is, conversely, much easier to be swayed by irrationality.<\/p>\n<h2><strong>The Remedy for Irrationality Is Behavioral Finance<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p>Behavioral finance has become a well-known field among financial professionals, and its recent<br \/>literature has effectively highlighted how<strong> <strong>investors<\/strong>&#8216; behaviors<\/strong> often <strong>do not find rational<br \/>justification, and consequently, lack <strong>consistency <\/strong>with the <strong>investment decision-making<\/strong><br \/>process. This happens because, when faced with unexpected events, we tend to make<br \/>decisions in an approximate manner, relying on so-called &#8220;<strong>heuristic biases<\/strong>&#8220;\u2014<strong>mental<br \/>shortcuts our brains use to estimate unknown probabilities and make decisions in<br \/><strong>ever-changing external contexts<\/strong>.<\/strong><\/strong>  <\/p>\n<p>In this regard, the French economist Maurice <strong>Allais <\/strong>developed his famous paradox, questioning<br \/>the <strong>theory of expected utility<\/strong> and demonstrating how <strong>individuals <\/strong><strong>behave <\/strong><strong>ambiguously <\/strong>when<br \/>choosing between almost certain and probable events.<\/p>\n<p>For instance, we might make <strong>decisions <\/strong>based on a<strong> limited set of information<\/strong>, fall prey to<br \/><strong>representativeness heuristic<\/strong>, change our mind depending on how data is framed (the<br \/>so-called &#8220;<strong>framing effect<\/strong>&#8220;). Furthermore, an investor who, in theory, would benefit from seeking<br \/>higher expected returns in exchange for increased risk, might instead be influenced by recent<br \/>market trends and his <strong>short-term experiences<\/strong> <strong>due to loss<\/strong><strong> aversion<\/strong>.<\/p>\n<h2><strong>Avoid Being Tempted by the Sirens<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p>I often discuss these aspects of <strong>behavioral finance<\/strong> with my clients, as I believe that emotional<br \/>factors are just as important as the technical aspects of the markets.<br \/>\nMoreover, I believe that <strong>financial education<\/strong> must be a continuous process to help <strong>raise awareness <\/strong>of investment<br \/>choices. This is the real opportunity to leverage during times like the one we are experiencing.<br \/>\nRather than simply discussing how every crisis in the long run has been overcome through the<br \/>ability to maintain positions and &#8220;keep a steady nerve,&#8221; it is crucial for <strong>investors <\/strong>to internalize<br \/>the need for proper <strong>planning<\/strong>, based on expected utility or<strong> concrete life goals<\/strong>.<\/p>\n<p>Everything else is <strong>navigation <\/strong>toward a <strong>goal<\/strong>, subject to unpredictable changes in external<br \/>conditions that<strong> should not make us lose our way<\/strong>. Using a metaphor, I would say that along<br \/>the <strong>journey<\/strong>, there will be false myths and <strong>temptations <\/strong>that seem irresistibly attractive, such as<br \/>the idea that one can get rich through trading or Forex, or that one should sell before every<br \/>political election (or referendum) and then buy back, or that the Euro is nearing its end&#8230; New<br \/>&#8220;temptations&#8221; will always arise!<\/p>\n<p>In a sense:<\/p>\n<p><em>The investor should act like Odysseus, who, in his emblematic &#8220;self-commitment,&#8221; limits himself<br \/>in the face of the sirens, knowing that resisting their call rationally is impossible.<\/em><\/p>\n<p><strong>In conclusion<\/strong>, whether a situation presents an opportunity or a threat during a crisis depends<br \/>on the investor\u2019s ability to see the financial advisor <strong>not only as a professional manager<\/strong><br \/>capable of identifying <strong>investment solutions <\/strong>aligned with the risk\/time relationship<strong>\u2014something<br \/>a robo-advisor could handle\u2014but more importantly, as an <strong>emotional manager<\/strong> who<br \/><strong>understands <\/strong><strong>the needs <\/strong>or <strong>fears related to the fate and destination of one\u2019s money.<\/strong><br \/>Because behind every opportunity or threat lies a range of emotions that vary from client to<br \/>client.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>The investor should begin to ask themselves:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>How many times has my advisor providentially contacted me to consolidate my gains?<\/li>\n<li>How many times has he been a positive obstacle in preventing me from capitalizing on<br \/>losses?<\/li>\n<li>Without my advisor, would I have saved the same amount?<\/li>\n<li>Am I aware of my risk profile and my time horizon?<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>Can I help you answer these questions? Contact me. <\/p>\n<\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":6105,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[32],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-6108","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-financial-advice"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v28.7 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Behavioral Finance: Why You Should Use It When Investing - Francesco Paese<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Behavioral finance comes into play when in uncertain times like this the markets represent a threat and\/or an opportunity for investments\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.francescopaese.it\/en\/behavioral-finance-why-you-should-use-it-when-investing\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Behavioral Finance: Why You Should Use It When Investing - 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